Inexperienced-Leverage
0x9079247d94761dfe31b013c2d2ce8536708573ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$3.05
Total PnL
$-6.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.00
$0.00
- GRIZZLIES
Grizzlies vs. Celtics
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $0.35 in October?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?$1.00Feb 17, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Feb 17, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMYieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.02Feb 17, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMCanton FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.06Feb 17, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Adolescence win Best Television Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.08Feb 17, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$1.27Feb 17, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$2.13Feb 17, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adolescence win Best Television Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.00Oct 27, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanton FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Oct 27, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?$1.00Oct 15, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: September$1.09Oct 9, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMEarthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?$1.28Oct 9, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMNew X CEO announced by July 31?$1.72Oct 9, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMMariners vs. Tigers$8.33Oct 9, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.35 in October?$1.00Oct 9, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYYieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Oct 9, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$1.00Sep 19, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: September$1.00Sep 19, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$1.00Sep 19, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEarthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?$1.00Jul 17, 20:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $181.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 11:30 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 06:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.