Crisp-Circumference
0x907d7ee926c7a3d8becf7a1e662294a93b6d20c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$439.37
Total PnL
$66.38
Realised
$175.52
Win rate
96%
135 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
37772 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$56.66
$18.89
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
27264 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$40.90
$12.84
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
12389 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.58
$6.19
- YES
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?
34197 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$17.10
$-17.10
- YES
Will Amazon have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
9491 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.24
$4.75
- YES
Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
27407 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.70
$-13.70
- YES
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
7409 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.11
$3.70
- YES
Will Microsoft have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
6535 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.80
$3.27
- YES
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
6342 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.51
$3.17
- YES
Will Jensen Huang be 2nd richest person on December 31?
246 shares @ 0.2¢·now 3.9¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$9.48
$8.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Tesla deliver less than 300000 vehicles in Q2 2026$0.09Jun 13, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Databricks’ market cap be between $175B and $200B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 13, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 300000 vehicles in Q2 2026$0.00Jun 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 300000 vehicles in Q2 2026$0.01Jun 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 300000 vehicles in Q2 2026$0.01Jun 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 300000 vehicles in Q2 2026$0.01Jun 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 300000 vehicles in Q2 2026$0.01Jun 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 300000 vehicles in Q2 2026$0.01Jun 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Databricks’ market cap be between $175B and $200B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 13, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 13, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Szemler be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?$0.00Jun 13, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$0.01Jun 13, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$0.01Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?$0.09Jun 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republican House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.00Jun 13, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republican House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.00Jun 13, 16:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 135 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.