0x9080483e2f1d63a52f29047a0abfe90511fa798e
0x9080483e2f1d63a52f29047a0abfe90511fa798e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-106.30
Realised
$0.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on February 26?
2140 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-35.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or higher on February 26?
801 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C or below on February 27?
510 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-25.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on February 26?
435 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on February 26?
278 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C or higher on February 26?
168 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on February 26?
114 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 53°F or below on February 27?
93 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 39°F or below on February 27?
54 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-16.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on February 26?
45 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on February 26?$1.03Feb 25, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 53°F or below on February 27?$0.68Feb 25, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C or below on February 27?$25.00Feb 25, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on February 26?$0.25Feb 25, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 53°F or below on February 27?$0.19Feb 25, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on February 26?$0.25Feb 25, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on February 26?$0.25Feb 25, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or higher on February 26?$0.10Feb 25, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or higher on February 26?$0.10Feb 25, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or higher on February 26?$0.10Feb 25, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or higher on February 26?$0.10Feb 25, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or higher on February 26?$0.10Feb 25, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or higher on February 26?$0.10Feb 25, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or higher on February 26?$0.10Feb 25, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or higher on February 26?$0.10Feb 25, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or higher on February 26?$0.10Feb 25, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or higher on February 26?$0.10Feb 25, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or higher on February 26?$0.10Feb 25, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or higher on February 26?$0.10Feb 25, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 39°F or below on February 27?$6.00Feb 25, 17:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 17:39 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 19:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.