Silky-Toad
0x908686df9c81cc564185fb5cd1f181264129bfe7
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$8.13
Total PnL
$-14.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
71 shares @ 12.8¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.13
$-0.96
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
9766 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-4.9K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
2014 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
2009 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
1980 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-990.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
1960 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-980.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
1960 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-980.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
1958 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-979.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
1950 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-975.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
1945 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-972.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.09Mar 25, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$9.12Mar 25, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$9.11Feb 4, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$1.01Feb 4, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?$1.02Feb 4, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMNikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?$1.03Feb 4, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?$1.03Feb 4, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close above $2.00 end of December?$1.51Feb 4, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?$1.55Feb 4, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?$1.00Jan 15, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 15, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close above $2.00 end of December?$1.50Dec 16, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?$1.00Dec 9, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?$1.50Dec 2, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?$1.00Nov 25, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$60.00Nov 11, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$28.50Nov 11, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$30.00Nov 11, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$80.00Nov 4, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$83.00Nov 4, 08:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $479.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 03:38 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 02:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".