0x908f76528674f656cf1c52ae78dc9d1a81ac39b9
0x908f76528674f656cf1c52ae78dc9d1a81ac39b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
24/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-141.04
Realised
$-5.45
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on May 20?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
111 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-27.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?
84 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-25.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?
82 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-21.24
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on May 22?
80 shares @ 43.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-34.61
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
42 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-24.78
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 20:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$715.42Jul 20, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 01:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$72.84Jul 18, 22:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $67.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 16:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.