Rosy-Ice
0x909173dfd5b13d68f1b6e8a874403d0a4ce7f710
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-563.16
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on March 9?
2008 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-53.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 7?
2000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 9?
1966 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-133.46
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?
1637 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-25.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on March 6?
1551 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-14.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on March 6?
1292 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-58.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 9?
582 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 3?
460 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-209.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on March 6?
448 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-33.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 3?
233 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-34.92
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 9?$0.09Mar 9, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 9?$3.88Mar 9, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 9?$1.05Mar 9, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 9?$0.07Mar 9, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 9?$0.04Mar 9, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 9?$0.85Mar 9, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 9?$4.42Mar 9, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 9?$4.79Mar 9, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 9?$2.94Mar 9, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 9?$0.02Mar 9, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 9?$2.05Mar 9, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 9?$10.60Mar 9, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 9?$5.89Mar 9, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 9?$4.65Mar 9, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 9?$4.68Mar 9, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 9?$22.57Mar 9, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 9?$12.90Mar 9, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 9?$16.43Mar 9, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 9?$13.94Mar 9, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 9?$10.48Mar 9, 14:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 12:47 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 14:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.