Arctic-Variability
0x9092b76b8e5d8ffe603cc754b8790bf27a8c9398
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-412.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on October 25?
952 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
690 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
635 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-53.37
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?
497 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-44.00
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January?
234 shares @ 42.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?
167 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Hyperliquid reach $60 in November?
106 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on October 25?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?$30.25May 10, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?$20.24May 10, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$37.16Apr 11, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$20.00Apr 11, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?$76.88Mar 3, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?$30.00Mar 2, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$52.63Mar 2, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?$58.82Mar 2, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?$20.00Jan 27, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?$20.00Jan 10, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$50.00Jan 10, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Jan 10, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLVenezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?$20.91Jan 5, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$53.56Jan 5, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by January 9?$20.00Jan 5, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYVenezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?$20.00Jan 5, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$40.12Jan 3, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$20.00Jan 3, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$20.00Jan 3, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January?$50.00Jan 3, 12:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $30.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 7, 14:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 19:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".