Super-Bathroom
0x90a6019b33c0dee813cb7c4826014c54837ef8a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
94
Open notional
$67.70
Total PnL
$-177.91
Realised
$42.79
Win rate
100%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- YES
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?
16 shares @ 30.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.19
$1.37
- YES
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
279 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.13
$1.33
- NO
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
18 shares @ 26.9¢·now 32.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.76
$0.95
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat?
155 shares @ 3.1¢·now 3.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.42
$0.62
- YES
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
267 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.67
$-0.13
- YES
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
24 shares @ 20.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.99
$-0.85
- NO
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
58 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.76
$-2.02
- YES
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
52 shares @ 9.6¢·now 6.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.40
$-1.60
- YES
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
51 shares @ 11.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.96
$-2.66
- YES
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
232 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$2.44
$-0.35
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?$6.85Aug 1, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$4.99Aug 1, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?$4.99Aug 1, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat?$4.99Jul 31, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.61Jul 31, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.88Jul 30, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?$4.99Jul 29, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$4.99Jul 28, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?$5.00Jul 28, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.99Jul 27, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.99Jul 27, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamar Jackson win the 2026 NFL MVP?$1.00Jul 17, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamar Jackson win the 2026 NFL MVP?$4.50Jul 17, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.17Jul 2, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?$7.14Jun 30, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLRamp IPO before 2027?$4.47Jun 27, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?$2.97Jun 26, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?$2.04Jun 26, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?$2.78Jun 26, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$5.45Jun 25, 20:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 04:56 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 18:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.