Unequaled-Outside
0x90b15580d1b62c3a7638d4234be25252124255e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
158
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-561.18
Win rate
11%
151 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
1025 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-272.85
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
566 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.29
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
243 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-66.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
218 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-62.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
162 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-46.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.05May 16, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.99May 16, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.03May 16, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.06May 16, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.04May 16, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.04May 16, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.04May 16, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.06May 16, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.06May 16, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$2.10May 16, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.10May 16, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.04May 16, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.06May 15, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.07May 15, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.06May 15, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.06May 15, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.05May 15, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.04May 15, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.04May 15, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.04May 15, 17:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
11% win rate over 151 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
151 closed markets, 11% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 16:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 14:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 151 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.