Wobbly-Publicity
0x90b50834089417e20eee9a19f8440abcbc83ad4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$20.34
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
881 shares @ 88.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-781.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
664 shares @ 74.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-495.02
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
286 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
284 shares @ 70.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
260 shares @ 48.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-126.76
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-24?
225 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
220 shares @ 89.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-197.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
200 shares @ 86.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-173.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
200 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-184.00
- YES
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-01?
172 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-04?$10.00Apr 4, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$31.56Mar 30, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$4.34Mar 30, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$16.16Mar 30, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$12.71Mar 30, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$30.00Mar 29, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$1.00Mar 29, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$31.24Mar 29, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$30.00Mar 29, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$33.27Mar 29, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$30.00Mar 29, 16:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$30.30Mar 29, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$30.00Mar 29, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$40.00Mar 29, 16:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$42.92Mar 29, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$40.00Mar 29, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$31.24Mar 29, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$30.00Mar 29, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$30.61Mar 29, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$30.92Mar 29, 16:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $24.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 13:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 05:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.