Warlike-Musicmaking
0x90b91ce27ca8ac4fc95ea02ee1e96f8c815b9afe
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-37.04
Win rate
0%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- OVER
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5
258801 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-299.76
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?
119616 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-234.72
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Paraguay?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- UNDER
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Paraguay?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UNDER
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Croatia?
2095 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-102.31
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Paraguay?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?
1771 shares @ 22.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-393.65
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$9.03Jul 7, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$5.14Jul 7, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-06?$1.62Jul 7, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$0.01Jul 6, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$0.06Jul 6, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLPortugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance$96.27Jul 6, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$90.27Jul 6, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLPortugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance$100.20Jul 6, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance$99.31Jul 6, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$101.83Jul 6, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance$99.31Jul 6, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5$384.78Jul 5, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5$101.50Jul 5, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?$68.58Jul 5, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5$101.38Jul 5, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana?$326.34Jul 4, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana?$19.69Jul 4, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana?$15.21Jul 4, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5$100.66Jul 4, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?$292.82Jul 4, 01:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $61.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 00:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 06:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.