Lanky-Hurricane
0x90be731b60be6948f1aba2138c68b852da83c800
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$659.70
Total PnL
$-199.72
Realised
$405.84
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
200 shares @ 64.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$168.00
$40.00
- YES
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
535 shares @ 14.7¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$165.80
$87.22
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31?
200 shares @ 72.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$124.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
150 shares @ 67.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$115.50
$15.00
- NO
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 60.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$50.00
$-10.00
- YES
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
200 shares @ 50.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$27.00
$-74.00
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?
20 shares @ 44.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$9.40
$0.60
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
1489 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-147.24
- YES
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
590 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-106.10
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
500 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?$60.00Aug 18, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31?$144.00Aug 18, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?$8.80Aug 18, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$18.00Aug 15, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$33.17Aug 10, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$28.50Aug 10, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$1.00Aug 10, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$0.47Aug 10, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$0.47Aug 10, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$20.00Aug 10, 02:20 UTC
- REWARD$3.43Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$18.70Jul 13, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$5.00Jul 13, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$1.30Jul 13, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$31.00Jul 13, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$37.00Jul 12, 06:26 UTC
- REWARD$0.10Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$6.02Jul 11, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$5.32Jul 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?$19.73Jul 9, 16:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $33.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 12:44 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 12:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.