Unwitting-Spectrograph-Transport
0x90bfcea3728592073b6a41d87a49955c7f5bf885
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$811.18
Total PnL
$-113.17
Realised
$135.09
Win rate
38%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
838 shares @ 21.5¢·now 24.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$207.37
$27.38
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
283 shares @ 48.7¢·now 48.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$137.41
$-0.58
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 24?
272 shares @ 44.7¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$119.56
$-1.93
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
260 shares @ 50.1¢·now 42.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$110.39
$-19.79
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
245 shares @ 30.6¢·now 31.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$77.31
$2.38
- MAGICOS
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs MAGICOS - Map 1 Winner
192 shares @ 17.8¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$33.53
$-0.68
- ALKA
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ALKA - Map 2 Winner
55 shares @ 48.2¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$23.41
$-3.13
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
100 shares @ 25.7¢·now 22.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$22.95
$-2.75
- MAGICOS
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs MAGICOS - Map 2 Winner
99 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$15.81
$-1.02
- ATREIDES
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 2 Winner
26 shares @ 46.3¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$11.48
$-0.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 1 Winner$1.70Jul 24, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 1 Winner$1.70Jul 24, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: largadosypelados vs MAGICOS - Map 1 Winner$2.17Jul 24, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Butterfly vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner$5.21Jul 24, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 2 Winner$9.60Jul 24, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Isurus vs Patins da Ferrari (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs$1.46Jul 24, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Butterfly vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner$2.50Jul 24, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Butterfly vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner$2.50Jul 24, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Isurus vs Patins da Ferrari - Map 2 Winner$19.05Jul 24, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 2 Winner$2.62Jul 24, 01:36 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$23.12Jul 24, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Butterfly vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner$2.60Jul 24, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$10.34Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs$5.00Jul 23, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Isurus vs Patins da Ferrari - Map 2 Winner$10.29Jul 23, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Isurus vs Patins da Ferrari - Map 2 Winner$10.00Jul 23, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Isurus vs Patins da Ferrari - Map 2 Winner$10.00Jul 23, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage$10.00Jul 23, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Isurus vs Patins da Ferrari - Map 2 Winner$9.40Jul 23, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Isurus vs Patins da Ferrari - Map 2 Winner$0.75Jul 23, 23:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
38% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 23:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 05:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.