Fitting-Texture
0x90c2b673a3f6fa61596f085f7e98d2de121ea699
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$570.00
Total PnL
$-9.51
Realised
$-1.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?
570 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$570.00
$0.57
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in July?
450 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
330 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.32
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October 7?
330 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.31
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on November 10?
290 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.39
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $2.00 in March?$209.58Mar 30, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.00 in March?$209.79Mar 30, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?$569.43Mar 30, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$0.35Mar 27, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$1.75Mar 26, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the top AI model on December 31?$77.36Mar 19, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill 16-18 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?$124.00Mar 19, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China?$150.00Mar 19, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 21?$470.00Nov 22, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 21?$469.06Nov 19, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on November 10?$1.45Nov 9, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$1.32Oct 31, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hideki Matsuyama win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?$420.29Oct 28, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October 7?$2.31Oct 6, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?$139.02Sep 25, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China?$149.55Sep 25, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$169.66Sep 25, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$169.83Sep 25, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?$62.43Aug 16, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?$75.61Aug 16, 09:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $141.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 14:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.