0x90dfc45a5574c211b73dc9ecf34a823e6954c223
0x90dfc45a5574c211b73dc9ecf34a823e6954c223
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$401.45
Total PnL
$50.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
301 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$301.14
$63.14
- YES
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
100 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$100.31
$2.21
- YES
Will Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
627 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Sean Fraser be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
325 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer in the EPL?
280 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will another team win the Bundesliga?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$398.80May 5, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$59.00May 5, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?$99.80May 5, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$87.00May 5, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.21May 5, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$29.79May 5, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?$95.20Mar 30, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$9.00Mar 30, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$15.48Mar 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$34.50Mar 25, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$0.69Mar 25, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$12.45Mar 25, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$3.45Mar 25, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.43Mar 25, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Pompeo be a member of the Trump administration? $0.75Mar 17, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$76.00Mar 15, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$98.10Mar 15, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?$0.01Mar 15, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$100.00Mar 15, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?$100.00Mar 15, 00:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $34.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 00:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 11:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.