Well-Worn-Admin
0x90f88ac8d330029febfd46af34123625f12a93c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$296.58
Total PnL
$-132.70
Realised
$21.82
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
340 shares @ 5.9¢·now 87.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$296.58
$276.58
- YES
Will the U.S. collect more than $2t in revenue in 2025?
6577 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-32.99
- YES
Will the U.S. collect between $1t and $2t in revenue in 2025?
5070 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-29.99
- YES
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?
3337 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-71.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
941 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?
807 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?
412 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
324 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
202 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-13.71
- YES
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$20.00Jul 8, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.94Jul 7, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41.46Jul 7, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.06Jul 7, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$20.00May 5, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$10.00Apr 22, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner$5.00Apr 22, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$36.58Apr 22, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$30.00Apr 16, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stupid / Idiot" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?$1.00Apr 1, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$0.10Apr 1, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump or Melania say "Hottest" at Chicago Opening Night?$4.00Mar 31, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$20.00Mar 20, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?$8.00Mar 2, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?$20.00Mar 2, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?$3.17Feb 23, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $150 in February?$9.96Feb 23, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?$15.09Feb 23, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?$9.50Feb 5, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $150 in February?$100.00Feb 5, 21:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $31.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 21, 10:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 11:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.