Leading-Divan
0x90fb234808675dd9dd1fc4da5f5bf2be646a4aa8
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$48.15
Total PnL
$-14.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Trump in jail before election day?
10 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$10.48
$0.48
- NO
Will Michelle Obama become Dem Nominee?
10 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$10.17
$0.17
- NO
Will RFK Jr. debate Biden/Trump?
10 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$10.16
$0.16
- NO
Kamala Harris blowout victory?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2024$6.58
$1.58
- NO
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$5.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
5 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$5.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Kamala lead by 1.1-1.5 or more points on September 20?
33 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Trump drop out of presidential race?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Biden pardon Trump?
18 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$0.00Sep 19, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?$0.00Sep 19, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?$0.00Sep 19, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$0.00Sep 19, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden pardon Trump?$1.00Sep 19, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be another debate?$2.00Sep 19, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala lead by 1.1-1.5 or more points on September 20?$0.50Sep 19, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala lead by 2.1-2.5 or more points on September 20?$2.00Sep 19, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMFed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?$5.13Sep 19, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by September 18?$5.32Sep 19, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine hits Moscow by August 31?$0.00Sep 2, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?$0.00Sep 2, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before September?$0.00Sep 2, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before September?$0.00Sep 2, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama become Dem Nominee? $10.00Sep 1, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump drop out of presidential race?$1.00Sep 1, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?$1.00Sep 1, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMElon x Kamala Harris interview in August?$0.00Sep 1, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMElon x Kamala Harris interview in August?$10.18Sep 1, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$0.00Aug 27, 23:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $4.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 12:37 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 19, 22:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".