Afraid-Providence
0x9104c14c5e2e6a12a03f19f5883e822bfebf5a78
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.3K
Realised
$14.62
Win rate
9%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
3434 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
1526 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-29.88
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
693 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
444 shares @ 54.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-241.33
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
399 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-120.89
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
392 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
387 shares @ 56.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-220.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
374 shares @ 58.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-219.82
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$0.37Jul 21, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$0.56Jul 21, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$0.58Jul 21, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$4.90Jul 21, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$3.73Jul 21, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$62.82Jul 21, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.96Jul 21, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$6.46Jul 21, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$9.40Jul 21, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$28.20Jul 21, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$128.48Jul 21, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$103.03Jul 21, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$41.32Jul 21, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$0.48Jul 21, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$51.26Jul 21, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$20.57Jul 21, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$75.97Jul 21, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$311.20Jul 21, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$51.35Jul 21, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$206.44Jul 21, 17:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
9% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $41.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 17:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 18:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.