0x9105758c2f3194290183a550f76b89a5144876e5
0x9105758c2f3194290183a550f76b89a5144876e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-118.86
Realised
$-3.78
Win rate
0%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Dani Olmo: 1+ assists
851 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.79
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
146 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
117 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?
109 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.17
- YES
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?
94 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ghana to score first vs. Colombia?
24 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.46
- YES
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals
19 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$2.15Jul 28, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.08Jul 28, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.08Jul 28, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$2.50Jul 27, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$2.05Jul 27, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$7.27Jul 19, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYLautaro Martínez: 1+ goals$2.95Jul 19, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$2.01Jul 18, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$1.06Jul 18, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?$20.00Jul 15, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$13.33Jul 15, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$4.05Jul 15, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?$2.11Jul 15, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$4.18Jul 15, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?$9.56Jul 14, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?$4.97Jul 14, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$3.00Jul 11, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total Corners$5.01Jul 10, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?$0.00Jul 9, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Second half draw?$3.09Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
36 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $3.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 19:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 06:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.