Ample-Tolerance
0x9106cf79b02f85d8f1e546802ed916648f44afcb
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-446.1K
Realised
$490.6K
Win rate
92%
61 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
154417 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-24.0K
- NO
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
104751 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-19.4K
- YES
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?
102251 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.8K
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100629 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 3 Senegal?
99998 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.9K
- YES
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 3 Senegal?
99998 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.9K
- YES
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 Senegal?
99998 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.9K
- YES
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 DR Congo?
99997 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.9K
- YES
Exact Score: England 0 - 1 DR Congo?
99997 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.9K
- YES
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 DR Congo?
99997 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.9K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.43Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$57.7KJul 20, 01:49 UTC
- YIELD$5.14Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.07Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- MERGEWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$597.49Jul 19, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$252.20Jul 19, 09:00 UTC
- MERGEWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$240.00Jul 19, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$101.30Jul 19, 08:57 UTC
- MERGEWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$113.00Jul 19, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$47.70Jul 19, 08:56 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$39.46Jul 19, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$5.06Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.28Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$435.74Jul 18, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.8KJul 18, 01:24 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$108.24Jul 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$4.28Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- MERGEWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.0KJul 17, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.63Jul 17, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.98Jul 17, 17:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$79.3K
Trades
2
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 2, 12:30 UTC → Jul 2, 18:46 UTC
- BUYExact Score: Uruguay 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?$21.6K@91¢Jun 21, 21:43 UTC
- BUYExact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 IR Iran?$7.3K@87¢Jun 21, 16:39 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
70/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
92% win rate over 61 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 8 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
61 closed markets, 92% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
8 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?
$21.6K · 27% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 07:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 61 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.