Venerated-Fright
0x9106ef50b11f312ad54fedd586a078d03dea613b
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$621.92
Total PnL
$-6.7K
Realised
$119.88
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
25419 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$571.93
$57.75
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2499 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$49.98
$-2.50
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 13?
22696 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-45.26
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 13-19?
8333 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- KENTUCKY WILDCATS
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones
6174 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 6-12?
5084 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-22.76
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
1257 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-572.37
- T1
Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 2 Winner
1115 shares @ 65.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-727.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
786 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-361.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
744 shares @ 44.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-333.70
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.