Optimal-Chili
0x91078d02b6db710baa37c028519b2d9592b9b6e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
79
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$-658.47
Win rate
0%
77 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7PM ET
392 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 18?
348 shares @ 78.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-273.58
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
295 shares @ 67.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
274 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-202.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12PM ET
241 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8PM ET
235 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9AM ET
220 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7PM ET
206 shares @ 96.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8AM ET
204 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?
202 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-103.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3AM ET$100.07Aug 19, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2AM ET$110.98Aug 19, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2AM ET$99.91Aug 19, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1PM ET$112.69Aug 18, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1PM ET$100.00Aug 18, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8AM ET$122.43Aug 18, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8AM ET$100.49Aug 18, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3AM ET$110.19Aug 18, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3AM ET$99.86Aug 18, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8PM ET$109.18Aug 18, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8PM ET$100.59Aug 18, 00:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5PM ET$192.31Aug 17, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5PM ET$152.31Aug 17, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3PM ET$127.96Aug 17, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3PM ET$101.53Aug 17, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET$108.98Aug 17, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1PM ET$99.79Aug 17, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1AM ET$123.54Aug 17, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1AM ET$100.54Aug 17, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12AM ET$111.43Aug 17, 05:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 77 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
77 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $108.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 12, 23:40 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 07:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 77 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.