Deserted-Duration
0x911b788bf209579f9bc47dd3de43cbb81a08344f
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-68.6K
Realised
$566.24
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
24968 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.5K
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
8791 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.8K
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
4687 shares @ 44.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-30?
4621 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
4494 shares @ 61.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.8K
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?
4492 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- SPAIN
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
4335 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
4284 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-05-29?
4280 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
4211 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$19.80Jul 13, 16:50 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.13Jul 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viking FK win on 2026-07-12?$1.5KJul 12, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Viking FK win on 2026-07-12?$581.18Jul 12, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Viking FK (-1.5)$605.64Jul 12, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viking FK win on 2026-07-12?$605.74Jul 12, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill IK Sirius win on 2026-07-12?$140.21Jul 12, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill IK Sirius win on 2026-07-12?$2.5KJul 12, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IK Sirius win on 2026-07-12?$1.7KJul 12, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)$2.3KJul 12, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$366.32Jul 12, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)$364.09Jul 12, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$837.02Jul 12, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)$64.02Jul 12, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)$94.56Jul 12, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)$110.12Jul 12, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)$105.39Jul 12, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)$154.64Jul 12, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)$110.12Jul 12, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)$127.06Jul 12, 02:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
63% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $506.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 16:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 16:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.