Flawed-Instruction
0x911bb6c41a9e1a9c861029640fadc5884fb0a7fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$815.18
Total PnL
$-399.71
Realised
$327.29
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- OPENAI
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
476 shares @ 21.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$169.05
$69.05
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
419 shares @ 17.9¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$157.25
$82.25
- YES
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?
529 shares @ 22.7¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$76.73
$-43.27
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
455 shares @ 22.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$75.00
$-25.00
- YES
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?
556 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.00
$0.00
- YES
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
114 shares @ 44.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.07
$-11.93
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
137 shares @ 21.9¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$36.23
$6.23
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
492 shares @ 6.1¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$31.72
$1.72
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
76 shares @ 66.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$23.48
$-26.52
- YES
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?
714 shares @ 7.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$21.07
$-28.93
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$215.56Jun 12, 22:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$46.15Jun 11, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?$31.01Jun 11, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$92.41Jun 11, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$10.34Jun 11, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$10.34Jun 11, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$374.63Jun 11, 03:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490?$80.65Jun 8, 10:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$41.52Jun 4, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.29Jun 4, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.71Jun 4, 04:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $33.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 23:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.