Front-Want
0x913056ab0d021739437a77d55456d370bd0dd0bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-44.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
957 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
114 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.27
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
18 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.87
- YES
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- WIZARDS
Pistons vs. Wizards
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.00Mar 30, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$5.34Mar 30, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$3.75Mar 30, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$10.00Mar 26, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$10.00Mar 21, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$10.00Mar 21, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$19.14Mar 21, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$10.00Mar 21, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.75Mar 18, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Mar 18, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?$1.00Mar 18, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$3.00Mar 18, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.00Mar 18, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$3.27Mar 18, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.96Mar 18, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$0.00Mar 18, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMHoward Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers$0.00Mar 18, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMHoward Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers$3.17Mar 18, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$1.00Mar 17, 23:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 22:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 21:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.