Wallet digest

active

Activity score

49/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-136.20

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

NO
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?
54 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025
$0.00
$-25.00
NO
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
45 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025
$0.00
$-12.96
NO
Will Trump say "Erdogan" during Egypt summit?
42 shares @ 47.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025
$0.00
$-20.00
NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
39 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025
$0.00
$-15.00
NO
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?
26 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025
$0.00
$-15.00
NO
Will Trump say "Australia" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?
26 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025
$0.00
$-7.24
NO
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00
NO
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Egypt summit?
22 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025
$0.00
$-11.00
NO
Will Bernie say "Working Class" 5+ times during CNN town hall on October 15?
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00
NO
Will Bernie say "Health Care" 5+ times during CNN town hall on October 15?
21 shares @ 47.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00

Recent activity

TRADESELLWill Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?$24.34Oct 20, 16:39 UTC
REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?$20.00Oct 18, 11:59 UTC
REDEEMWill Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?$20.41Oct 18, 11:59 UTC
REDEEMWill Trump say "Please" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?$37.04Oct 18, 11:59 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Australia" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?$7.24Oct 17, 19:41 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?$10.00Oct 17, 19:37 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$12.96Oct 17, 19:15 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?$15.00Oct 17, 19:11 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?$15.00Oct 17, 19:08 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?$15.00Oct 17, 19:08 UTC
REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during ballroom dinner on October 15?$18.36Oct 17, 09:29 UTC
REDEEMWill Bernie say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ times during CNN town hall on October 15?$20.41Oct 17, 09:29 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Please" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?$10.00Oct 16, 09:57 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?$10.00Oct 16, 09:55 UTC
TRADESELLWill Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?$8.50Oct 16, 09:55 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?$10.00Oct 16, 09:50 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?$10.00Oct 16, 09:50 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?$10.00Oct 16, 09:49 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during ballroom dinner on October 15?$10.00Oct 15, 19:28 UTC
REDEEMWill Trump say "Bibi" during Egypt summit?$20.00Oct 15, 07:43 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity34 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry80 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk49 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 22
Avg trade size: $12.46
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Oct 12, 19:54 UTC
Last active: Oct 20, 16:39 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

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updated 08:43:10 UTC·src:Polymarket Data