Fatherly-Wolf
0x914bf9ea4ece5904e3c9f078d09cc14f0abc0927
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$20.87
Total PnL
$-616.97
Realised
$-17.33
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
27 shares @ 72.1¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$16.17
$-3.44
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
30 shares @ 49.5¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.70
$-10.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 40-41°F on April 17?
956 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 42-43°F on April 17?
559 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 38-39°F on April 17?
416 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on April 17?
226 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- NO
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
216 shares @ 46.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on April 17?
204 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 9?
197 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-47.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 14?
190 shares @ 84.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-159.88
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$56.10Jun 3, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?$20.00Jun 3, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 3?$50.00Jun 3, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?$289.68Jun 3, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 3?$10.00Jun 3, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 3?$250.00Jun 3, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 3?$15.00Jun 3, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$18.79Jun 3, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 3?$9.00Jun 3, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?$1.89Jun 3, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?$2.62Jun 3, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$39.12Jun 3, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?$30.59Jun 3, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?$137.77Jun 3, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?$15.70Jun 3, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 3?$49.43Jun 3, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 3?$14.56Jun 3, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?$18.67Jun 3, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 3?$248.34Jun 3, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?$4.35Jun 3, 04:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $38.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 19:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 18:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".