Reflecting-Placode
0x914e04a289816e16279d99d7177924486f213228
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$55.37
Total PnL
$3.26
Realised
$-0.11
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?
51 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$50.82
$0.82
- KATIE VOLYNETS
The Memphis Classic: Katie Volynets vs Viktorija Golubic
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$4.55
$3.55
- SOFIA KENIN
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Sofia Kenin
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?$50.03Jul 27, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$2.0KJul 27, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti AND Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage$1.00Jul 27, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Sofia Kenin$1.04Jul 27, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYThe Memphis Classic: Katie Volynets vs Viktorija Golubic$1.04Jul 27, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Sofia Kenin AND The Memphis Classic: Katie Volynets vs Viktorija Golubic$1.00Jul 27, 17:58 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$2.0KJul 27, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on July 18?$0.00Jul 27, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$10.13Jul 27, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$20.47Jul 27, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$50.56Jul 27, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 18?$1.06Jul 18, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$50.00Mar 16, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$10.00Mar 16, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$10.54Mar 16, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$112.12Mar 16, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$368.15Mar 11, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$5.04Mar 10, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$18.82Mar 10, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$1.61Mar 10, 20:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
9/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $49.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 14:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 18:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.