0x914e3829a2f74651606f6cef68ce988b1a908355
0x914e3829a2f74651606f6cef68ce988b1a908355
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$502.28
Total PnL
$-95.47
Realised
$-21.22
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 26?
89 shares @ 89.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$83.28
$3.28
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 28?
58 shares @ 68.6¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$39.37
$-0.63
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 27?
38 shares @ 79.1¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$31.28
$1.28
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 27?
32 shares @ 62.2¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$22.34
$2.34
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 26?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$20.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 28?
37 shares @ 54.4¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$17.46
$-2.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?
23 shares @ 64.6¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$17.06
$2.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 27?
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$16.09
$1.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 27?
28 shares @ 54.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$15.42
$0.42
- NO
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in June?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$11.19
$1.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 28?$5.13Jun 26, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 26?$10.03Jun 26, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 28?$5.13Jun 26, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 26?$10.04Jun 26, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 26?$5.04Jun 26, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on June 27?$5.14Jun 26, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 27?$5.04Jun 26, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 27?$5.05Jun 26, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 27?$5.05Jun 26, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 28?$5.12Jun 26, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 28?$5.10Jun 26, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 28?$5.10Jun 26, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 27?$5.05Jun 26, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 27?$5.05Jun 26, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 27?$5.05Jun 26, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?$5.08Jun 26, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 26?$10.07Jun 26, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 26?$10.07Jun 26, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 26?$10.07Jun 26, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 26?$10.08Jun 26, 08:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 07:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 08:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.