Mad-Beastie
0x9151c7063031499787a6a35003ec488285c9a93e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-66.12
Win rate
0%
199 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 24?
2906 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-23.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 28?
1273 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 26?
835 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-14.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 23?
455 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 25?
431 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-25.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 30?
414 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-66.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 25?
408 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 74°F or higher on May 24?
384 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-14.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 18?
353 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 22?
350 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 13?$6.67Aug 14, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 13?$16.13Aug 14, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 13?$6.49Aug 14, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 12?$8.93Aug 13, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 12?$6.67Aug 13, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 12?$8.06Aug 13, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 13?$5.22Aug 12, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 13?$5.24Aug 12, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 13?$5.06Aug 12, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on August 13?$5.19Aug 12, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 13?$5.11Aug 12, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 13?$5.06Aug 12, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 13?$5.12Aug 12, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 13?$5.17Aug 12, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 11?$9.26Aug 12, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 11?$11.90Aug 12, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 12?$5.11Aug 11, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 12?$5.12Aug 11, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 12?$5.06Aug 11, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 12?$5.24Aug 11, 21:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 199 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
199 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $5.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 19:04 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 07:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 199 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.