Informal-Raise
0x915560339d6ebf74c420cd293c3badc84ebf7433
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Roderic O'Gorman be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.99
- YES
Will 'A Different Man' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?
15 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.22
- YES
Will 'Sing Sing' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?$2.99Jan 16, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Sing Sing' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?$2.00Jan 16, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Different Man' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?$2.22Jan 16, 17:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chase Oliver get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?$0.00Jan 16, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?$0.00Jan 16, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wisconsin be the tipping point state?$0.00Jan 16, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?$1.00Dec 17, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roderic O'Gorman be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?$1.00Dec 17, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wisconsin be the tipping point state?$1.00Dec 17, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chase Oliver get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?$1.20Dec 17, 06:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $1.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 06:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 17:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".