Required-Forearm
0x9156cfdf4fb3d84e13f6474b3ba0eec36f20dde6
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$88.00
Total PnL
$-60.33
Realised
$-16.85
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
88 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$88.00
$44.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
190 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 65°F or higher on November 7?
130 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
Recent activity
- SPLITUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$88.00Jun 2, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$83.66Jun 2, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$4.45Jun 2, 16:37 UTC
- SPLITUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$89.00May 26, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$23.57May 26, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$66.17May 26, 22:50 UTC
- SPLITUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$90.64May 22, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$43.08May 22, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$47.56May 22, 04:10 UTC
- SPLITWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$92.44May 18, 09:38 UTC
- MERGEWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$90.00May 18, 09:37 UTC
- SPLITWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$90.00May 15, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$59.05May 15, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$32.54May 15, 11:10 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$96.00May 15, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.00May 15, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$25.00May 15, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$50.00May 15, 11:05 UTC
- SPLITWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.00May 14, 10:04 UTC
- SPLITWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$25.00May 14, 10:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $16.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 00:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 16:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.