0x916057a0cf8ca3aa696a49940b531faf60699e16
0x916057a0cf8ca3aa696a49940b531faf60699e16
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-560.44
Realised
$60.42
Win rate
100%
50 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 30?
929 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on April 30?
536 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-27.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 19°C on April 30?
521 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-26.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C or higher on April 30?
463 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on April 30?
433 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 25?
424 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on April 30?
420 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 30?
402 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 30?
387 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 30?
326 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-48.87
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on April 30?$2.32May 4, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 30?$40.00May 4, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 2?$0.41May 1, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 2?$0.88May 1, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 2?$0.57May 1, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 2?$0.88May 1, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 2?$0.16May 1, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 2?$2.70May 1, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on April 30?$2.69Apr 30, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 30?$6.00Apr 30, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on April 30?$0.01Apr 30, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 30?$0.41Apr 30, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 30?$4.46Apr 30, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 30?$0.63Apr 30, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 30?$0.86Apr 30, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 30?$1.78Apr 30, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 30?$0.63Apr 30, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on April 30?$10.93Apr 30, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on April 30?$12.52Apr 30, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 2?$1.05Apr 30, 08:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 50 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
50 closed markets, 100% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 16:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 02:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 50 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.