Excellent-Verb
0x91644b4b1219c0c66139378198794dc25a02be4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$32.73
Win rate
85%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
2633 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
1271 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-22.32
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
610 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-29.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
605 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.49
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
430 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
387 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-170.28
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
333 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
271 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-39.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
219 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-91.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1PM ET
200 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$0.00Apr 4, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$2.00Mar 27, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by March 31?$2.00Mar 27, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$172.90Mar 25, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$4.01Mar 25, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$20.00Mar 25, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$20.00Mar 25, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$120.30Mar 25, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$14.90Mar 25, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$100.00Mar 25, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$10.00Mar 25, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$75.19Mar 25, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$20.00Mar 25, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.00Mar 25, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$91.36Mar 25, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$30.00Mar 25, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$21.88Mar 25, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$5.00Mar 25, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$23.22Mar 25, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$20.00Mar 25, 23:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
85% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $30.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 07:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 20:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.