Frequent-Kid
0x91719f865cd0d213c9ed83c28f0f0dee1d07f6b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
2400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 20?
1700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 59°F or below on October 9?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.43
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$12.11Jun 12, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11?$185.19Jun 11, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$12.01Jun 11, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11?$185.01Jun 11, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$196.98Jun 8, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$196.00Jun 7, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$195.19Jun 3, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$195.01Jun 2, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$195.19Jun 1, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$195.01May 30, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$195.19May 28, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$195.01May 27, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?$195.19May 24, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?$195.01May 23, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?$195.19May 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?$195.01May 16, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$195.20May 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$195.00May 13, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$50.05May 12, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$144.29May 12, 08:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $130.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 01:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 18:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.