Smug-Warrant
0x917908a6afc91113f97d0acb556d2d5c33f3b046
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$105.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-5.41
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or higher on May 31?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.00
$0.02
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
20 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.00
$0.16
- NO
Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$20.00
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on May 31?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.00
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 31?
14 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.00
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 31?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.00
$0.01
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz
1100 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-627.00
- VERONIKA ERJAVEC
Antalya 3: Veronika Erjavec vs Tamara Zidansek
1020 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-510.00
- ZDENEK KOLAR
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Zdenek Kolar
480 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-273.60
- AUGUST HOLMGREN
Cherbourg: Remy Bertola vs August Holmgren
460 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-230.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 31?$10.99May 31, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or higher on May 31?$19.98May 31, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 31?$13.97May 31, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on May 31?$19.98May 31, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$15.00May 31, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?$16.00May 31, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,400 May 18-24?$20.00May 31, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$14.00May 31, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?$15.99May 24, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 May 18-24?$19.98May 24, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.00 in May?$19.98May 24, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$19.85May 24, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$14.99May 24, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$13.99May 24, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on May 6?$4.05May 24, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$11.00May 24, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$13.00May 24, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 78°F or higher on May 5?$13.00May 24, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$20.00May 24, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$21.00May 24, 15:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $22.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 03:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".