Reliable-Kilt
0x9179feead3031ddeb65bba99a0be2d8aec7c0b5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-533.19
Realised
$-25.08
Win rate
7%
69 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
1224 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
851 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
548 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
534 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-32.37
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
378 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
374 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
367 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$1.19Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.07Jul 10, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.07Jul 10, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.06Jul 10, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.61Jul 10, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.03Jul 10, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.07Jul 10, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.46Jul 10, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$26.63Jul 10, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$5.28Jul 10, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$5.35Jul 10, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$26.68Jul 10, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$5.33Jul 10, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$9.43Jul 10, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$5.32Jul 10, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$5.33Jul 10, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$5.32Jul 10, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$5.28Jul 10, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$5.30Jul 10, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$5.26Jul 10, 00:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 69 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
69 closed markets, 7% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $12.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 69 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.