Beautiful-Malnutrition
0x917c4a5a0a9b0cc39941f57f99b0a16c6e56d9eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
193
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-331.15
Realised
$-3.06
Win rate
43%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 193- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 14?
1515 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 14?
1079 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 14?
756 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 14?
747 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 12?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 12?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 14?
394 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16?$0.76Jun 17, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 15?$4.21Jun 15, 19:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 14?$0.21Jun 15, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 14?$0.36Jun 15, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 14?$0.96Jun 15, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 14?$0.98Jun 15, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 14?$4.44Jun 15, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 15?$1.06Jun 14, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 15?$0.95Jun 14, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 14?$1.84Jun 14, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 14?$0.95Jun 14, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 15?$1.00Jun 14, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 14?$1.05Jun 14, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 14?$0.96Jun 14, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 14?$1.55Jun 14, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16?$0.95Jun 14, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 14?$1.10Jun 14, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 15?$0.96Jun 14, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 14?$1.08Jun 14, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 15?$0.95Jun 14, 18:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 17:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 18:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.