Opulent-Elbow
0x91839360a2729bca491d76cd2e7ef1355764e270
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$2.24
Total PnL
$0.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00May 12, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI data center moratorium passed before 2027?$1.00Apr 23, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.42Apr 23, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA VI released before June 2026?$0.74Apr 23, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$1.64Apr 23, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before June 2026?$1.00Feb 18, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $32.05Feb 18, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00Feb 18, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$2.00Feb 18, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$0.14Dec 12, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $25.00Dec 12, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$86.78Oct 21, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$87.00Oct 21, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada join US as 51st state before July?$0.11Oct 21, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMAstaria airdrop in Q1 2025?$1.01Oct 21, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAstaria airdrop in Q1 2025?$1.00Mar 20, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?$0.00Jan 30, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Robinson drop out in September?$0.11Jan 30, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,000 before October?$0.11Jan 30, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,500 on September 27?$0.12Jan 30, 15:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $60.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 26, 14:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 20:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.