Original-Employment
0x919698b19427cbe6945b0dc823f2d9e126a4d934
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$214.84
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-172.29
Win rate
10%
126 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 16?
188 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$187.81
$3.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 16?
225 shares @ 8.5¢·now 12.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$27.03
$7.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 27?
1185 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 41°C or higher on July 15?
1050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on June 13?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on July 16?
831 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 3?
756 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-12.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 27?
696 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 1?
675 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 16?$1.20Aug 16, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16?$2.15Aug 16, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 16?$2.11Aug 16, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 16?$2.89Aug 16, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 16?$3.60Aug 16, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 16?$1.76Aug 16, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 16?$1.83Aug 16, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 16?$1.20Aug 16, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 16?$0.01Aug 16, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 16?$12.08Aug 16, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 16?$0.50Aug 16, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 16?$0.73Aug 16, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 16?$1.15Aug 16, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 16?$29.97Aug 16, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 16?$22.25Aug 16, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16?$1.71Aug 16, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 16?$6.37Aug 16, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 16?$0.28Aug 16, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 16?$2.24Aug 16, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 16?$12.12Aug 16, 07:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 126 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
126 closed markets, 10% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 06:16 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 07:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 126 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.