Idealistic-Veneer
0x9197566dba76b19284beb60d07f59684660b32f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$7.89
Total PnL
$-2.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Kamala say "border" 5 or more times at debate?
2 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$2.00
$1.32
- YES
Will Kamala say "abortion" at debate?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$1.89
$0.23
- YES
Will Trump say "fraud" at debate?
1 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$1.00
$0.46
- YES
Will Trump say "abortion" at debate?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$1.00
$0.17
- YES
Will Kamala say "Artificial Intelligence" at debate?
1 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$1.00
$0.65
- NO
Will Trump say "drill baby drill" at debate?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$1.00
$0.29
- YES
Will Kamala say "liar" at debate?
6 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-2.22
- YES
Will Kamala say "weird" or "weirdo" at debate?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kamala say "unrealized" at debate?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kamala say "wall" at debate?
1 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-0.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "liar" at debate?$1.84Sep 10, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "weird" or "weirdo" at debate?$1.00Sep 10, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "unrealized" at debate?$1.00Sep 10, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "border" 5 or more times at debate?$0.68Sep 10, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "abortion" at debate?$1.66Sep 10, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "fraud" at debate?$0.54Sep 10, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Epstein" at debate?$0.04Sep 10, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "drill baby drill" at debate?$0.71Sep 10, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "wall" at debate?$0.41Sep 10, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "Artificial Intelligence" at debate?$0.35Sep 10, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "liar" at debate?$0.38Sep 10, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "convicted felon" at debate?$0.55Sep 10, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "abortion" at debate?$0.83Sep 10, 16:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $0.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 10, 16:41 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 10, 17:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.