Immense-Manipulation
0x91a9a72e0eeb691f1091a8e5051f5083a35dec28
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-460.99
Realised
$0.39
Win rate
64%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
59 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
57 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
37 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
29 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
27 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
26 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$0.74Jul 29, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$1.04Jul 29, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$0.86Jul 29, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$1.03Jul 29, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$0.84Jul 29, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.04Jul 29, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$0.85Jul 29, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.02Jul 29, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.03Jul 29, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.85Jul 29, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.03Jul 29, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$0.01Jul 29, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.52Jul 29, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.03Jul 29, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - July 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.11Jul 29, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.02Jul 29, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$0.89Jul 29, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.03Jul 29, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - July 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$0.85Jul 29, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$1.04Jul 29, 01:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 00:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 03:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.