Scary-Alfalfa
0x91bc4de4b36e9e5c8c54edc4f1930e38b3aec76d
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-979.57
Win rate
7%
199 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
1500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
758 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-26.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
600 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
564 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
529 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
524 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
462 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
349 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
292 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.01Aug 4, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.48Aug 4, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.03Aug 4, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$1.89Aug 4, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$1.03Aug 4, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$1.03Aug 4, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.28Aug 4, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.02Aug 4, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.10Aug 4, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.04Aug 4, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$1.03Aug 4, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.18Aug 3, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.01Aug 3, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$1.05Aug 3, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.06Aug 3, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$5.29Aug 3, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$7.21Aug 3, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$5.08Aug 3, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.02Aug 3, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.85Aug 3, 20:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 199 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
199 closed markets, 7% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 13:30 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 03:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 199 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.