Self-Assured-Clearance
0x91d1576f3631f525a053b92ca115f72d17de43ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-238.76
Realised
$-13.94
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 20?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 22?
240 shares @ 69.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-167.59
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?
50 shares @ 85.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-42.69
- CAVALIERS
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)
32 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-13.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?$4.44Jun 23, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?$38.54Jun 23, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 23?$2.94Jun 23, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 23?$19.96Jun 23, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 22?$11.62Jun 22, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 22?$5.99Jun 22, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 22?$14.32Jun 22, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 22?$12.08Jun 22, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 22?$2.58Jun 22, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 22?$25.51Jun 22, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 22?$2.45Jun 22, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 22?$4.99Jun 22, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 22?$0.52Jun 22, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 22?$6.48Jun 22, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 22?$8.74Jun 22, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 22?$8.64Jun 22, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 22?$10.99Jun 22, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 22?$9.39Jun 22, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 23?$17.98Jun 22, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 23?$2.25Jun 22, 02:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $12.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 03:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 11:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.