0x91e838e105087893ae2fc6113f3794ee73c95a81
0x91e838e105087893ae2fc6113f3794ee73c95a81
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$46.35
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$9.99
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 30?
9 shares @ 80.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$8.23
$0.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on July 29?
9 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$7.82
$0.34
- UNDER
Sydney FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5
7 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$7.06
$3.67
- NO
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
7 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$6.50
$3.51
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 29?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.00
$0.63
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 29?
3 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.75
$0.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 29?
3 shares @ 89.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.71
$0.28
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 29?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.70
$0.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 30?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$2.55
$0.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 30?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$2.27
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 30?$2.44Jul 29, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 30?$2.25Jul 29, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 30?$2.17Jul 29, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 30?$7.55Jul 29, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 29?$2.44Jul 29, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 28?$2.00Jul 29, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 29?$2.33Jul 29, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 29?$2.39Jul 29, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on July 29?$2.44Jul 29, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 29?$2.44Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 28?$2.00Jul 28, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on July 29?$2.43Jul 28, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 28?$2.70Jul 28, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 28?$2.70Jul 28, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 28?$2.75Jul 28, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on July 29?$7.52Jul 28, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 28?$2.50Jul 28, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 28?$2.44Jul 28, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 27?$2.71Jul 28, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 27?$2.70Jul 28, 04:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 21:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 10:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.