Firm-Chafe
0x91ebde3150cb921f8ffa8d583a17d77ed43bc8b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-295.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Bryce Hall win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 65°F or higher on October 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?
414 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.76
- YES
Government shutdown on Saturday?
294 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
287 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-35.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
247 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-18.97
- YES
Will Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
179 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
OpenAI browser by October 24?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$5.00Feb 14, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$98.20Feb 14, 15:43 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.01Feb 13, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$0.00Feb 12, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$5.00Feb 12, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$10.00Feb 12, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$20.00Feb 12, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$98.89Feb 12, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$1.00Feb 12, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$3.00Feb 12, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$10.00Feb 12, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$15.00Feb 12, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.00Feb 12, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$5.00Feb 12, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$15.00Feb 12, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$5.00Feb 12, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$10.00Feb 12, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$16.55Feb 12, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$5.00Feb 12, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$0.50Feb 12, 20:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $17.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 23:49 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 15:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".