Slow-Espalier-Obstacle
0x91f4ad135c4e7c7b7d4b1b6efa152b2c2e47d093
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$6.68
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 20?
480 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-11.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 17?
350 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on July 20?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 12?
294 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-14.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13?
290 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-12.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 12?
290 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-13.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 23?
282 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-12.32
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
273 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 27?
250 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.55
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22?$4.99Jul 22, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 22?$9.99Jul 22, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?$4.85Jul 22, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?$4.80Jul 22, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?$2.05Jul 22, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 22?$5.22Jul 22, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 22?$5.17Jul 22, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 22?$0.10Jul 22, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 22?$4.80Jul 22, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 22?$0.22Jul 22, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 23?$0.55Jul 22, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23?$1.40Jul 22, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 23?$2.40Jul 22, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23?$1.45Jul 22, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?$1.35Jul 22, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?$1.40Jul 22, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 23?$0.60Jul 22, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 23?$2.56Jul 22, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 23?$2.06Jul 22, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 23?$2.04Jul 22, 11:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 18:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.