Determined-Economics
0x92096615e3b90572941b246998c2f88fe7809151
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$430.00
Total PnL
$-20.02
Realised
$-1.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
430 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$430.00
$0.86
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on November 15?
390 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-9.75
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4000 July 28–August 3?
360 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30?
350 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2025 BMW Championship?
290 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-4.93
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
1 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$429.14Mar 29, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.18Mar 28, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.73Mar 25, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$430.41Dec 12, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$429.14Nov 19, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on November 15?$9.75Nov 9, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in October 2025?$520.37Nov 3, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in October 2025?$518.96Oct 31, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 9?$370.00Oct 29, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be 45.0–45.4% on July 25?$600.47Oct 29, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 9?$369.63Oct 7, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30?$1.05Sep 27, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$249.50Sep 27, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$249.75Sep 27, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert MacIntyre win the 2025 BMW Championship?$4.93Aug 12, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4000 July 28–August 3?$3.60Aug 2, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be 45.0–45.4% on July 25?$598.80Jul 24, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?$366.30Jul 17, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?$366.67Jul 9, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill The MongolZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?$510.00Jul 3, 23:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $639.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 13:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 17:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.