Fragrant-Aspect
0x920e698142071a421241a6d782f8d431acf27873
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
152
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.8K
Realised
$-292.10
Win rate
1%
130 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 152- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
1161 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-894.00
- YES
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?
1136 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- UNDER
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5
790 shares @ 73.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-580.97
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
780 shares @ 70.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-546.80
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
450 shares @ 39.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-178.00
- 76ERS
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
440 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-220.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
426 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-128.00
- YES
Will AI be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
389 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-124.99
- LAKERS
Spurs vs. Lakers
339 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-244.00
- YES
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?
323 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?$84.39Aug 19, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?$225.35Aug 19, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?$300.00Aug 18, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?$290.40Aug 18, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?$120.00Aug 12, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?$51.36Aug 12, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?$43.16Aug 11, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?$0.88Aug 11, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?$30.96Aug 11, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?$170.00Aug 10, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?$45.00Aug 10, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?$101.12Aug 10, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?$169.88Aug 10, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?$103.78Aug 10, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?$240.64Aug 1, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$14.86Jul 29, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$116.40Jul 29, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?$57.07Jul 27, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?$188.08Jul 27, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?$170.00Jul 24, 09:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 130 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
130 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $94.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 12:40 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 06:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 130 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.