Sturdy-Appetite
0x9212fe9b743278ec4a497d7a9515c679b76ee340
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-55.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
6450 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.45
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strike on Iran on June 25?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?
252 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
240 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.70
- YES
US strike on Iran on June 24?
202 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Turkey leave NATO by June 30?
186 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$6.45Feb 3, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.00Jan 25, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?$1.00Jan 22, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 22, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 19-25?$1.00Jan 22, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 4, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$3.00Jan 4, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela on January 4?$1.00Jan 4, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?$1.00Jan 4, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 4, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 4, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress authorizes military force against Iran before July?$1.00Jun 24, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran declare war on Israel before July?$1.00Jun 24, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel declare war on Iran before July?$1.00Jun 24, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIranian coup attempt before July?$1.00Jun 24, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?$1.00Jun 24, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk's security clearance revoked before July?$1.00Jun 24, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump declare war on Iran before August?$1.00Jun 24, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?$1.00Jun 24, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkey leave NATO by June 30?$1.00Jun 24, 17:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 20:11 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 17:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".